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Old 10-26-03, 01:12 AM   #2 (permalink)
Puffguts
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Joined: Oct 2003
Location: Chino Hills
Posts: 140
Puffguts will become famous soon enough
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Hello there! I will try my best to answer your question.

1) This is a problem about "estimated gain" from a total possible value X and take a percentage of "success rate" of Y% out of the X, the resulted value being how much we loss/gain out of an total amount X with the percentage Y.

Solution: $500,000 x 0.01 (Poss. of Loss) = $5,000 loss estimated from theft each year. However, the insurance company not only want to make it even, it wants to have its gain (revenue?) to be equal to $1,000. Then to cover the $5000 loss with $5000 premium out of the customer, you add another $1000 to make it your gain. Conclusion: the insurance company will try to charge $6000 as the insurance premium.

2) This is a more complicated version of #1.

Solution: the cost for delivery is $14.80, yet the company charges $15.50 to cover for possible delay, and to gain a revenue after all the cost / penalty are deducted.

$15.50 x (1-0.02) = what is left of the total revenue after the expected penalty for delay. Result $15.19.

Now that is what the company will gain from every delivery per day minus the penalty. Now we factor in the basic cost.

$15.19 being the modified "raw" revenue minus the $14.80 cost, we have $0.39. That is the expected gain per package (what the company will actually earn after all the cost / penalty).

Good luck with stat. Take Mr.Hoon Kim if you can. He is the best stat teacher we will ever have.
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